Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Victoria La Ceiba		Choloma

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.45	2.88
	2.2	3.22	2.89
	2.22	3.59	2.94	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.88
	2.21	3.47	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.94)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	2.93 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
42.2%

Draw
26.7%

Choloma
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

27%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores E. (G) 5. Banegas A. 3. Barrios O. 17. Bernardez C. 20. Espinal M. 52. Hernandez A. 19. Lahera Y. 42. Martinez E. 6. Matute C. 32. Monico D. 65. Sevilla L.	24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 2. Barrios B. 50. Bermudez J. 9. Borja E. 15. Canales C. 23. Castillo H. 12. Chavez Y. 5. Franco J. (C) 8. Rocha D. 6. Suazo J.
Substitutes
23. Bueso G. 26. Chavez B. 36. Cruz A. 33. Garcia J. 27. Guzman J. 8. Kelly K. 49. Navarro L. 12. Perello M. (G) 16. Portillo A. 38. Ramirez L. 30. Vaquedano B.	33. Aguilar D. 11. Alvarado M. 7. Anaya L. 20. Arias I. 28. Barrios J. 10. Canales J. 64. Coleman W. 27. Fernandez C. 22. Florez E. 25. Padilla G. 26. Ramos G. 48. Turcios J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', Pineda J. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Canales C. ⚽,
32', Suazo J. 🟨,
34', Sevilla L. 🟨,
37', Bernardez C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 2, Bermudez J. ⚽,
45+9', 0 - 3, Garcia J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Banegas A. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
46', Matute C. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
58', 0 - 4, Aceituno M. ⚽,
63', 0 - 5, Borja E. ⚽,
65', Castillo H. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
66', Franco J. ↓, Florez E. ↑,
69', 1 - 5, Hernandez A. ⚽,
71', Suazo J. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
71', Rocha D. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
71', Monico D. ↓, Chavez B. ↑,
79', Borja E. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
80', 2 - 5, Garcia J. ⚽,
84', Padilla G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).

Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Choloma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Victoria La Ceiba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
08.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Real España - Victoria La Ceiba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
09.04.26	Choloma - Real España	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Olancho - Choloma	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Choloma - Platense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Choloma - Génesis PN	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
21.02.26	Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
02.12.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	4:1
18.09.25	Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1

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