Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 26

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium (Chonburi)


	Chonburi		Nakhon Pathom United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.8	3.9
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.72	4.21	4.35
	1.7	4.21	4.36
	1.75	3.5	3.7
	1.68	4.02	4.21	Watch
	1.69	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	3.92 ↓ (3.98)	4.15 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chonburi
54.4%

Draw
23.4%

Nakhon Pathom United
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Nakhon Pathom United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chonburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deyto P. (G) 3. Rueangthanarot C. 11. Murilo 14. Phimpae P. 6. Thongcham S. 19. Sontisawat S. 9. Willian Lira 42. Sansanit K. 81. Ouattara A. 64. Kalasin K. 44. Kerdkaew C. (C)	39. Srathongjan W. (G) 21. Noiwilai N. 28. Utapao P. 4. Chegini A. 29. Wattayuchutikul S. 8. Stephen Berg A. 24. Suksanguan A. 30. Biesamrit N. 13. Ablorh L. 11. Boonma K. 10. Ito T.
Substitutes
88. Burapha Y. 4. James L. 26. Kaewphung T. 86. Nusong P. 24. Phonsa P. 15. Sanmahung J. 31. Sriyankem N. 91. Trisat P. 23. Yokakul S. (G)	20. Buathong W. (G) 66. Chaolaokhwan S. 3. Chuchai C. 27. Jaiphet A. 14. Montree T. 9. Paulista E. 64. Phupha J. 54. Prachobklang N. 33. Sangrum A.
Coaches
Laohakul W.	Nawas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ablorh L. ⚽, Srathongjan W. (A),
41', Phimpae P. ↓, Trisat P. ↑,
42', Sontisawat S. ↓, Burapha Y. ↑,
45', Kalasin K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Murilo ↓, Sriyankem N. ↑,
46', Utapao P. ↓, Jaiphet A. ↑,
47', Noiwilai N. 🟨,
49', Noiwilai N. 🟨,
54', Suksanguan A. ↓, Sangrum A. ↑,
57', Kalasin K. ↓, Kaewphung T. ↑,
63', Boonma K. ↓, Montree T. ↑,
69', Thongcham S. ↓, Phonsa P. ↑,
73', Wattayuchutikul S. ↓, Chuchai C. ↑,
90+4', Rueangthanarot C. 🟨,
90+6', Sangrum A. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Chonburi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nakhon Pathom United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chonburi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chonburi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chonburi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
20.04.24	Pathum United - Chonburi	1:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
10.04.24	Udon United - Chonburi	2:1 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
07.04.24	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Chonburi - Chiangrai United	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Bangkok United - Chonburi	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWL
- Nakhon Pathom United FC
Thai League 1
21.04.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Bangkok United	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
04.04.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Lamphun Warriors	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Khonkaen United - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Nakhon Pathom United - Trat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai FA Cup
28.02.24	Chonburi - Nakhon Pathom United	2:1
Thai League 1
02.12.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Chonburi	1:0
Thai League Cup
16.11.22	Nakhon Pathom United - Chonburi	1:0 ET

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