Match Info

Date: 31 December 2021, Friday


	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.08	3.25	3.5
	2.22	3.15	3.2
	2.22	3.23	3.51
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.19	3.28	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.6)	3.34 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic
43.1%

Draw
28.9%

Shanghai Shenhua
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

18.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	14.6%	43.7%

Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 20 - 41.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 21 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 29.8% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

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Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic has the most likely position - 10 (100%), has project points - 36, has currently - 36, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 30, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shanghai Shenhua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic
Chinese Super League
28.12.21	Dalian Pro - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	0:1 ✺
25.12.21	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1 ✺
21.12.21	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Wuhan	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	4:1 ✺
15.12.21	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Dalian Pro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
28.12.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
25.12.21	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
21.12.21	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	4:1 ✺
15.12.21	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
18.12.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	4:1
01.11.20	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0
27.10.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	3:1
25.10.19	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0
01.06.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	0:0
Chinese FA Cup
29.05.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic	3:2 ET
Chinese Super League
06.10.18	Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1

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