Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 24

Date: 22 July 2024, Monday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Cangzhou Mighty Lions		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	10	5.75	1.27	Watch
	10.5	5.5	1.24
	12	6	1.22	Watch
	9.94	6.22	1.21
	11.32	5.51	1.26	Watch
	12	5.8	1.18
	10.4	5.76	1.29	Watch
	11	5.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.9 ↓ (13.87)	5.77 ↓ (7.39)	1.24 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
8.6%

Draw
16.2%

Shanghai Shenhua
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.7%

12.6%

80.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cangzhou will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Han Rongze (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 16. Zheng Kaimu (C) 6. Obileye A. 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 18. Yao X. 19. Zhukov G. 7. Zheng Dalun 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 10. Taty Maritu O.	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 13. Manafa W. 3. Jin Shunkai 4. Jiang Shenglong 7. Xu Haoyang 6. Amadou I. 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao T. 10. Teixeira J. 14. Xie Pengfei 11. Malele C.
Substitutes
29. Han Feng (G) 35. Jianyi Zhou 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 17. Wen Da 5. Yan Zihao	27. Chan Shinichi 36. Fei Ernanduo 18. Fernandinho 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 39. Liu Yujie 1. Ma Zhen (G) 33. Wang Haijian 16. Yang Zexiang 20. Yu Hanchao 29. Zhou Junchen 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G) 5. Zhu C.
Coaches
Li Xiaopeng	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gao T. ⚽,
25', Zhukov G. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Wu Xi ⚽, Manafa W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sun Qinhan ↓, Wen Da ↑,
46', Yao X. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Gao T. ⚽, Manafa W. (A),
71', 0 - 4, Malele C. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
72', Zheng Dalun ↓, Yan Zihao ↑,
74', Xu Haoyang ↓, Chan Shinichi ↑,
74', Wu Xi ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
81', Malele C. ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
81', Jin Shunkai ↓, Fulangxisi Aidi ↑,
84', Wang Peng ↓, Li Hong ↑,
87', Gao T. ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
90+2', 0 - 5, Xie Pengfei ⚽, Yu Hanchao (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 0.

Cangzhou is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shanghai Shenhua is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cangzhou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cangzhou won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Cangzhou won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
12.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
26.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
13.07.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Changchun Yatai	3:2 ✺
06.07.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	6:0 ✺
30.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
01.05.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0
22.09.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:0
04.06.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1
Chinese FA Cup
07.01.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2
04.01.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	5:1
Chinese Super League
23.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3
29.10.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:2

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