Match Info

Jia League - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	5	10
	1.28	4.8	8.8
	1.29	4.95	11.7
	1.31	4.78	11.01	Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.3	5.58	8.37	Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)	4.99 ↑ (4.38)	9.95 ↑ (9.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
72.2%

Draw
18.5%

Dingnan United
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.9%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

19.9%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dingnan United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Dingnan United (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dingnan United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai 4. Sadauskas R. 2. Wang Wenxuan 26. He Xiaoqiang 8. Li Zhenquan 30. Bai Yutao 16. Zhang Zhixiong 40. Carrillo J. 27. Wu Yongqiang 7. Xiang Yuwang	13. Dong Yifan (G) 34. Ependi Nizamdin 3. Zhang Tianlong 28. Shao Shuai 19. Li Suda 15. Yang Fan 10. Tang Shi 20. Tiago Fernandes 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 7. Zhang Jiansheng 11. Erikys
Substitutes
5. Huang X. 14. Huang Xiyang 24. Liu Mingshi 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 38. Ruan Qilong 21. Song Pan 18. Tian Xiangyu 15. Tong Zhicheng 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G)	18. Fan Bojian 27. Ge Yifan (G) 22. He Shaolin 25. Li Boyang 9. Ma Chenghao 14. Ren Wei 45. Wei Zixian 29. Xu Jiajun 33. Yan Jiahao 17. Ye Daoxin 8. Zhang Zimin 16. Zhou Pinxi
Coaches
Suay S.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Zhang Jiansheng 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Zhang Yingkai ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
60', Tang Shi ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
65', Bai Yutao ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
66', Li Zhenquan ↓, Ruan Qilong ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Tiago Fernandes ⚽, Xu Jiajun (A),
71', Yang Fan 🟨,
73', Zhang Yingkai ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Carrillo J. ⚽, Zhang Zhixiong (A),
81', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
83', Ependi Nizamdin 🟨,
84', Yang Fan ↓, Li Boyang ↑,
86', Li Suda 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).

Chongqing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dingnan United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chongqing has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chongqing is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Chongqing will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
26.04.25	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shaanxi Northwest Youth - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shanghai Segenda - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWT

Upcoming Matches