Match Info

Jia League - Round 23

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Guangdong GZ-Power

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.55	3.85
	1.78	3.74	4.23
	3.80	3.39	1.93	Watch
	1.79	3.73	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.66)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	3.54 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
43.9%

Draw
27.8%

Guangdong GZ-Power
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chongqing Tongliang Long's form might have worsened.

Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ Power Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Wu Zitong (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 2. Wang Wenxuan 3. Zhang Yingkai 26. He Xiaoqiang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 38. Ruan Qilong 9. Leonardo 8. Li Zhenquan 40. Carrillo J. 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)	22. Xiao Jiaqi (C) 3. Han Xuan 6. Duan Yunzi 5. Jiang Jihong 34. Hou Yu 15. Deng Biao 25. Wang Chien-Ming 37. Shang Yin 20. Farley Rosa 9. Xia Dalong 11. Nikao
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 33. Cheng Yetong 5. Huang X. 14. Huang Xiyang 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 15. Tong Zhicheng 27. Wu Yongqiang 1. Yao Haoyang (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G)	8. Cai Haochang 2. Chen Guoliang 21. Cui Xinglong 13. Jiang Z. 10. Liang Xueming 26. Ma Junliang 38. Tu Dongxu 27. Wu Xingyu 45. Xue Sibo (G) 42. Yang Hao 17. Yan Zihao 14. Zeng Chao
Coaches
Suay S.	Feng F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Xia Dalong ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
20', Duan Yunzi 🟨,
45+2', Wang Chien-Ming 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
67', Duan Yunzi ↓, Cai Haochang ↑,
67', Farley Rosa ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
75', Zhang Yingkai ↓, Huang X. ↑,
80', Xiang Yuwang (Pen),
83', Nikao 🟨,
83', Xia Dalong ↓, Tu Dongxu ↑,
83', Nikao ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
89', Ruan Qilong ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
90+2', Hou Yu ↓, Zeng Chao ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).

Chongqing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guangdong GZ-Power is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guangdong GZ-Power may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
14.09.25	Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Shaanxi Union - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
13.09.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Shaanxi Union - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Foshan Nanshi - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.05.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:5

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