Match Info

Jia League - Round 21

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.5	6.75
	1.29	4.85	7.7	Watch
	1.26	5.47	12.29
	1.39	4.60	7.15	Watch
	1.35	4.33	7
	1.33	5.57	7.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.89 ↑ (4.63)	8.02 ↓ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
69.6%

Draw
18.9%

Nanjing City
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19.2%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Chongqing (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 2. Wang Wenxuan 38. Ruan Qilong 26. He Xiaoqiang 3. Zhang Yingkai 14. Huang Xiyang 4. Sadauskas R. 24. Liu Mingshi 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 9. Leonardo 8. Li Zhenquan	21. Qi Yuxi (C) 25. Tayir Shewketjan 39. Yu Menghui 17. Fu Yuncheng 18. Dong Honglin 2. Wang Xijie 5. Isic T. 36. Yuan H. 11. Hu Rentian 9. Ling Jie 7. Guo Yi
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 40. Carrillo J. 33. Cheng Yetong 5. Huang X. 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 21. Song Pan 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 16. Zhang Zhixiong	30. An Bang 16. Ding Yunfeng 6. Dujardin A. 24. Du Junpeng 33. Hu Jinghang 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 19. Ma Fuyu 28. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 27. Zheng Xuejian 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Suay S.	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Tayir Shewketjan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
57', Ling Jie ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
61', Huang Xiyang ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
68', Yuan H. ↓, Zheng Xuejian ↑,
68', Guo Yi ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
72', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
72', Hu Rentian ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
84', Yu Menghui ↓, An Bang ↑,
88', Zhang Yingkai ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Zhang Zhixiong ⚽,
90+3', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Cheng Yetong ↑,
90+4', Fu Yuncheng 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Chongqing is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chongqing won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
09.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Shaanxi Union - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	4:2 ✺
12.07.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
09.08.25	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Union	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	Ningbo Professional - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.04.25	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:1
28.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0
11.05.24	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2

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