Match Info

Jia League - Round 22

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Dingnan United		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.6
	3.95	3.4	1.75
	4.72	3.53	1.71
	2.00	3.52	3.42	Watch
	4.53	3.4	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.53)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
24.5%

Draw
28.1%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

26.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dingnan United - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 34. Ependi Nizamdin 44. Mateos D. 35. Liu Jiahui 19. Li Suda 20. Tiago Fernandes 15. Yang Fan 8. Zhang Zimin 10. Tang Shi 11. Erikys 9. Ma Chenghao	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 2. Wang Wenxuan 4. Sadauskas R. 26. He Xiaoqiang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 38. Ruan Qilong 33. Cheng Yetong 27. Wu Yongqiang 7. Xiang Yuwang 40. Carrillo J.
Substitutes
26. Chen Liming 18. Fan Bojian 27. Ge Yifan (G) 22. He Shaolin 41. Luo Dongxu 30. Ren Zening 28. Shao Shuai 45. Wei Zixian 29. Xu Jiajun 33. Yan Jiahao 7. Zhang Jiansheng 16. Zhou Pinxi	30. Bai Yutao 5. Huang X. 14. Huang Xiyang 9. Leonardo 8. Li Zhenquan 22. Ma Yujun 17. Ng Y. H. 20. Osmanjan Abduhelil 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Zhang Zimin (A),
44', 2 - 0, Tang Shi ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Erikys ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
45+3', Cheng Yetong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Li Zhenquan ↑,
46', Cheng Yetong ↓, Leonardo ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Li Zhenquan ⚽, Xiang Yuwang (A),
51', 🟨,
56', Tang Shi ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
59', Yang Fan 🟨,
67', Ma Chenghao ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
67', Ependi Nizamdin ↓, Wei Zixian ↑,
75', Yang Fan ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
75', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
75', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
78', Ruan Qilong ↓, Huang Xiyang ↑,
89', Erikys ↓, He Shaolin ↑,
90+3', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dingnan United has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chongqing is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dingnan United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
06.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWWW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
17.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nantong Zhiyun	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Shaanxi Union - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dingnan United	2:1

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