Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Henan Songshan Longmen

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.62	3.05	2.68	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.9
	2.78	3.08	2.64	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.5	3.1	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.69)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
35.7%

Draw
30.4%

Henan Songshan Longmen
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chongqing: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 38. Ruan Qilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 10. Amadou I. 26. He Xiaoqiang 15. Chen Chunxin 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.	18. Wang Guoming (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 27. Liu Yixin 15. Haliq Ablahan 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 7. Zhong Yihao 10. Bruno Nazario 13. Abudulam A. 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 9. Cimpanu G. 19. Du Yuezheng 5. Huang X. 6. Jin Pengxiang 21. Liu J. 24. Liu Mingshi 17. Ng Yu-Hei 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 4. Yue Ruijie	28. Du Changjie 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 5. Liu Jiahui 11. Muhmet N. 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 19. Xu Haofeng 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Ramos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Zhang Yingkai 🟨,
29', Amadou I. 🟨,
31', Amadou I. ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Gustavo (Penalty Awarded),
51', Iago Maidana 🟨,
53', Gustavo 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Wu Yongqiang ⚽, Zhang Zhixiong (A),
59', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
60', Ruan Qilong ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
64', Abudulam A. 🟨,
65', Chen Chunxin ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
69', Abudulam A. ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
87', Zhong Yihao ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
89', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
90+2', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 12).

Chongqing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Henan Jianye is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Henan Jianye: Huang Ruifeng (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Chongqing: Cimpanu G. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Shanghai Port - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWWW
- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2

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