Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tongliang Long Stadium (Chongqing)


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.00	3.70
	2.05	3.05	3.75
	2.04	2.96	3.45
	2.01	3.03	3.85	Watch
	1.9	2.95	3.55
	1.96	3.31	3.91	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.35)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
45.7%

Draw
29.7%

Qingdao West Coast
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chongqing Tongliang Long's performance.

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao West Coast might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chongqing Tongliang Long that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao West Coast could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Wu Zitong (G) 37. Wei Suowei 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 15. Chen Chunxin 38. Ruan Qilong 19. Du Yuezheng 21. Liu Jiale 18. Liang Weipeng 7. Xiang Yuwang (C)	16. Li H. (G) 20. He Longhai 5. Memisevic S. 4. Lohman Elnizar 32. Ding Haifeng 35. Nan Song 6. Jin S. 30. Yang Zhanpeng 8. Zhang X. 11. Davidson (C) 29. Jia Weiwei
Substitutes
9. Cimpanu G. 11. Dimata L. 26. He Xiaoqiang 6. Jin Pengxiang 24. Liu Mingshi 8. Li Zhenquan 17. Ng Yu-Hei 27. Wu Yongqiang 1. Yao Haoyang (G) 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 4. Yue Ruijie 16. Zhang Zhixiong	10. Da Luz N. 37. Dong Hang (G) 19. Dong Yu 26. Liu Shibo (G) 21. Meng Jingchao 25. Peng Xinli 36. Sun Jie 22. Wang Gengrui 15. Wang Peng 31. Xie Alexander 9. Yakubu A. 28. Zhang Chengdong
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Zheng Zhi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Du Yuezheng ⚽, Zhang Yingkai (A),
35', Ngadeu M. 🟨,
37', Zhang X. 🟨,
42', Ding Haifeng 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhang X. ↓, Zhang Chengdong ↑,
46', He Longhai ↓, Wang Gengrui ↑,
46', Chen Chunxin ↓, Cimpanu G. ↑,
55', Yang Zhanpeng ↓, Da Luz N. ↑,
55', Jin S. ↓, Peng Xinli ↑,
56', Liu Jiale 🟨,
57', Liu Jiale ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
57', Liang Weipeng ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
65', Jia Weiwei ↓, Dong Yu ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Du Yuezheng ⚽,
72', Du Yuezheng ↓, Dimata L. ↑,
76', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Li Zhenquan ↑,

Preview

Chongqing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qingdao West Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chongqing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chongqing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Zhejiang Professional	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Ningbo Professional - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLWW
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Port	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Qingdao West Coast - Zhejiang Professional	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
26.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao West Coast	1:1

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