Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Guiseley		Boston United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	1.98
	3.1	3.3	2.07
	3.2	3.45	2
	3.26	3.59	2.03
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	3.4	3.4	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
29.1%

Draw
27.2%

Boston United
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

18.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guiseley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boston United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guiseley - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 0.

Guiseley is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boston United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boston United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Guiseley won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Guiseley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English National League North
08.03.22	Guiseley - Brackley Town	0:5 ✺
26.02.22	York City - Guiseley	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Hereford - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Guiseley - Darlington	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Southport - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Boston United
English National League North
05.03.22	Boston United - Leamington	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Boston United - Kettering Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Boston United	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Boston United - Southport	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Hereford - Boston United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.09.21	Boston United - Guiseley	2:1
27.10.20	Boston United - Guiseley	1:1
17.08.19	Boston United - Guiseley	1:1
26.01.19	Guiseley - Boston United	4:5
04.08.18	Boston United - Guiseley	1:0
21.02.15	Guiseley - Boston United	2:0
24.01.15	Boston United - Guiseley	5:1

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