Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Chorley		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.54	4.22	5.6
	1.54	4.22	5.6
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.51	4.25	5.52
	1.53	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	4.14 ↑ (3.74)	5.39 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
60.6%

Draw
22.3%

Blyth Spartans
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blyth Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blyth Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Sampson J. (Pen),
44', 2 - 0, Henley A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chorley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chorley is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chorley won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
29.03.24	Darlington - Chorley	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Chorley - Boston United	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	3:0 ✺
12.03.24	South Shields - Chorley	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Hereford - Chorley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
29.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
19.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3 ✺
12.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:0
English National League North
21.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:1
07.02.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:2
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	0:1
English National League North
16.08.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	1:1
19.03.22	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	0:1
09.10.21	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	0:2

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