Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Brackley Town		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.17	3.2	3.44
	2.12	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.12	3.24	3.36
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	3.39 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
43.9%

Draw
28.9%

Chorley
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Brackley Town - Chorley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Chorley will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Sampson J. (Pen),
85', 0 - 2, Sampson J. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brackley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Brackley won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
31.08.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	4:0 ✺
20.08.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Chester - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLW
- Chorley
English National League North
31.08.24	Oxford City - Chorley	2:2 ✺
26.08.24	Chorley - Southport	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Scunthorpe United - Chorley	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Chorley - Hereford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.04.24	Brackley Town - Chorley	1:0
27.02.24	Brackley Town - Chorley	1:0
05.08.23	Chorley - Brackley Town	1:1
11.02.23	Brackley Town - Chorley	1:1
03.09.22	Chorley - Brackley Town	0:0
22.01.22	Brackley Town - Chorley	0:0
14.08.21	Chorley - Brackley Town	0:1

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