Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Chrobry Głogów		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.35	3.76	1.81
	4.36	3.76	1.81
	4	3.5	1.73
	4.15	3.54	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.45	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.64)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	1.79 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
22%

Draw
26%

Motor Lublin
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.5%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

22.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chrobry Głogów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Chrobry Głogów - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Motor will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weglarz D. (G) 80. Tabis K. 5. Bougaidis M. 33. Malczuk N. 3. Michalec M. 19. Mucha P. 16. Mandrysz R. 77. Hanc D. 9. Ozimek M. 14. Biel B. 11. Lebedynski M.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 68. Wolski B. 21. Rudol S. 18. Najemski A. 47. Palacz K. 55. Gasior M. 10. Krol R. (C) 77. Ceglarz P. 7. Rybicki M. 9. Zebrakowski M. 17. Wojcik F.
Substitutes
30. Bartlewicz S. 7. Bogusz A. 22. Dybowski K. (G) 4. Estigarribia G. 31. Paz J. 8. Plewka P. 29. Tupaj P. 27. Wojtyra K. 10. Wolsztynski R.	11. Kaminski D. 27. Kasprzyk D. 26. Krol M. 73. Lis J. 24. Luberecki F. 5. Magnuszewski K. 1. Rosa K. (G) 37. Scalet M. 19. Welniak K.
Coaches
Plewnia P.	Feio G.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

Recent matches Chrobry is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Motor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Motor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Motor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Slovan Liberec	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 1
06.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Wisła Puławy - Chrobry Głogów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTTLW
- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
08.10.23	Motor Lublin - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
29.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Motor Lublin - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
23.09.23	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:4 ✺
17.09.23	GKS Tychy - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
26.07.14	Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów	0:4

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