Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion Chrobrego (Głogów)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)


	Chrobry Głogów		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.85	3.24	2.6
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.71	3.2	2.54	Watch
	2.57	3.35	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.05)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	2.54 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrobry Głogów
35.1%

Draw
28.7%

Skra Częstochowa
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chrobry Głogów's form might have worsened.

Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skra Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chrobry Głogów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Chrobry Głogów - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chrobry will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chrobry: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Chrobry is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chrobry won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chrobry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
14.05.23	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Katowice	0:0 ✺
01.05.23	Odra Opole - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Chrobry Głogów - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
14.04.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
12.05.23	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Arka Gdynia - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	1:2
07.04.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	2:2
10.09.21	Chrobry Głogów - Skra Częstochowa	0:1

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