The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Termalica Nieciecza 51%
Draw 25.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.7%
25.7%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
23.7%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Users Predictions:
Termalica Nieciecza will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 20. Jaroszewski M. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 16. Kozik M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 8. Kurzawa R. 13. Kubica K. 15. Dabrowski S. 26. Jakubik W. 19. Durdov I.
1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 14. Szabaciuk F. 2. Kasolik K. 6. Kocar O. 33. Strajnar M. 34. Piekarski A. 8. Nascimento F. (C) 77. Kaminski W. 21. Gerstenstein O. 11. Korczakowski O. 9. Gjoni A.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. 10. Drag M. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. 44. Synos M. 76. Topor E. (G) 25. Zapolnik K. 4. Zarowny A.
10. Cholewiak M. 17. Iwao K. 13. Jaworski F. 97. Kowal W. (G) 99. Kurzeja B. 28. Pieprzyca I. 5. Stepien K. 53. Trubeha A. 64. Wolowiec K.
Coaches
Brosz M.
Tulacz T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Kasolik K. 🟨,
41', Piekarski A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Durdov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaminski W. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
46', Korczakowski O. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
64', Gerstenstein O. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
71', Jakubik W. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
71', Durdov I. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Hilbrycht D. ⚽,
77', Piekarski A. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
77', Strajnar M. ↓, Wolowiec K. ↑,
82', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zarowny A. ↑,
83', Kozik M. ↓, Synos M. ↑,
90+7', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.
Termalica has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Puszcza has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Puszcza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Termalica for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Termalica in today's match, at odds of 1.82.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Termalica has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:19 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Termalica against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 22:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Puszcza
12
4
0
8
13:17
-4
12
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Puszcza: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Puszcza Niepołomice - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 21.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.