Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.25	2.45
	2.7	3.4	2.45
	2.78	3.5	2.5
	2.78	3.44	2.5
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.71	3.41	2.39
	2.59	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	2.42 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
34.5%

Draw
27.3%

Stal Rzeszów
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Rzeszów: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 19. Ziemann M. 44. Remy W. 23. Matynia H. 3. Sukhotskyi A. 18. Guezen D. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 97. Sokol D. 88. Troc A. 7. Polyarus A. 9. Bilinski K.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 2. Warczak P. 14. Koscielny K. 91. Oleksy P. (C) 22. Simcak M. 33. Bukowski A. 41. Lysiak K. 31. Thill S. 18. Wachowiak K. 21. Grosu A. 30. Diaz J.
Substitutes
96. Calinski P. 6. Dovgyi O. 11. Fabry M. 27. Jonczy D. 5. Lipka K. 1. Shevchenko O. (G) 80. Uchnast L. 77. Wrzesinski K. 95. Zielonka N.	7. Danielewicz K. 42. Kadziolka S. 46. Lyczko S. 45. Pasko K. 50. Plichta K. 11. Prokic A. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 47. Salamon S. 40. Synos M.
Coaches
Saganowski M.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Grosu A. ⚽,
8', Grosu A. 🟨,
45+1', Sokol D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Polyarus A. ↓, Wrzesinski K. ↑,
46', Wachowiak K. ↓, Lyczko S. ↑,
46', Lysiak K. ↓, Danielewicz K. ↑,
54', Danielewicz K. 🟨,
55', Oleksy P. ↓, Synos M. ↑,
68', Synos M. 🟨,
68', Grosu A. ↓, Prokic A. ↑,
68', Troc A. ↓, Uchnast L. ↑,
68', Guezen D. ↓, Lipka K. ↑,
78', Synos M. ↓, Pasko K. ↑,
83', Sukhotskyi A. ↓, Jonczy D. ↑,
83', Sokol D. ↓, Fabry M. ↑,
90+1', Jonczy D. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 11).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stal Rzeszów is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
19.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:3 ✺
12.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Karviná	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
19.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Stal Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Wisła Płock - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.10.23	Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
08.04.23	Stal Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	6:0
02.09.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Rzeszów	1:0

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