Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)


	Motor Lublin		Chrobry Głogów

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.72	4.47
	1.78	3.72	4.47
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.58	4.33
	1.71	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.62 ↓ (3.69)	4.37 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
53.3%

Draw
25.6%

Chrobry Głogów
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów Predictions

Users Predictions: Motor Lublin will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Budzilek L. (G) 17. Wojcik F. 18. Najemski A. 4. Szarek P. 47. Palacz K. 22. Wojtkowski K. 37. Scalet M. 68. Wolski B. 26. Krol M. 90. Mraz S. 77. Ceglarz P. (C)	1. Weglarz D. (G) 44. Zarowny A. 5. Bougaidis M. 33. Malczuk N. 29. Tupaj P. 19. Mucha P. 16. Mandrysz R. 77. Hanc D. 9. Ozimek M. 14. Biel B. 10. Szczutowski A.
Substitutes
55. Gasior M. 3. Koziej S. 10. Krol R. 73. Lis J. 1. Rosa K. (G) 7. Rybicki M. 99. Spiewak K. 28. Stolarski P. 19. Welniak K.	30. Bartlewicz S. 7. Bogusz A. 22. Dybowski K. (G) 99. Klimczak A. 13. Kuzdra J. 11. Lebedynski M. 23. Lewkot S. 89. Machaj M. 31. Paz J.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Plewnia P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mraz S. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Szczutowski A. ↓, Lebedynski M. ↑,
57', Biel B. ↓, Bartlewicz S. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Tupaj P. ⚽, Bartlewicz S. (A),
64', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
64', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
71', Scalet M. 🟨,
74', Scalet M. ↓, Gasior M. ↑,
74', Tupaj P. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
79', Mraz S. ↓, Spiewak K. ↑,
79', Krol M. ↓, Rybicki M. ↑,
81', Rybicki M. 🟨,
86', Ozimek M. ↓, Machaj M. ↑,
86', Bougaidis M. ↓, Lewkot S. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 13).

Recent matches Motor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chrobry is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Motor is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
21.04.24	Miedź Legnica - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Motor Lublin	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Motor Lublin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Stal Rzeszów - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWTL
- Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1
20.04.24	Odra Opole - Chrobry Głogów	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Kraków	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Lech Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
20.10.23	Chrobry Głogów - Motor Lublin	0:1
Polish Cup
26.07.14	Motor Lublin - Chrobry Głogów	0:4

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