Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 27

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Chuncheon		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.63
	4.7	3.5	1.66	Watch
	4.88	3.6	1.68
	4.64	3.55	1.76	Watch
	4.78	3.52	1.65
	4.7	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.88)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chuncheon
19.4%

Draw
26%

Hwaseong
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

28%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chuncheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hwaseong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chuncheon - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Baek Seung-Woo ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Filipe R. R. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Lim C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Chuncheon has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hwaseong in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hwaseong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chuncheon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chuncheon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
14.09.24	Chuncheon - Gangneung	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Chuncheon	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Daegu 2 - Chuncheon	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Chuncheon - Siheung	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
21.09.24	Hwaseong - Siheung	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	Mokpo City - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Hwaseong - Yeoju	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.06.24	Hwaseong - Chuncheon	0:0
01.07.23	Chuncheon - Hwaseong	1:1
19.03.23	Hwaseong - Chuncheon	2:1

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