Match Info

K3 League - Round 24

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)


	Chuncheon		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.58	2.92	2.68
	2.65	3	2.86
	2.57	3.08	2.81	Watch
	2.57	2.89	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.25)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)	2.72 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chuncheon
35.6%

Draw
30.8%

Paju Frontier
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chuncheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chuncheon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Chuncheon - Paju Frontier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
82', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chuncheon won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chuncheon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chuncheon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
06.09.25	Gangneung - Chuncheon	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Chuncheon - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Daejeon Korail - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWTL
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
06.09.25	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
18.05.25	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1
02.11.24	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:0
21.06.24	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:1
09.09.23	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:0
17.05.23	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	1:2

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