Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Chungnam Asan		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3	3.2	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.3
	3.18	3.2	2.4
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.04	3.18	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.09)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.29 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chungnam Asan
30.6%

Draw
29.2%

Gwangju
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

29%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chungnam Asan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Chungnam Asan - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Chungnam Asan will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Gwangju will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gwangju is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for K League 1

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chungnam Asan won 0.

Chungnam Asan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwangju in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chungnam Asan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gwangju will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chungnam Asan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Chungnam Asan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
09.10.22	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	4:0 ✺
05.10.22	Chungnam Asan - Seoul E-Land	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Gimpo - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Chungnam Asan - Anyang	0:0 ✺
14.09.22	Seoul E-Land - Chungnam Asan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.10.22	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	4:0 ✺
02.10.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
26.09.22	Gwangju - Ansan Greeners	3:0 ✺
14.09.22	Anyang - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
07.08.22	Chungnam Asan - Gwangju	0:2
05.06.22	Gwangju - Chungnam Asan	3:2
26.03.22	Gwangju - Chungnam Asan	2:1
06.10.19	Chungnam Asan - Gwangju	0:1
15.09.19	Gwangju - Chungnam Asan	3:1
26.05.19	Chungnam Asan - Gwangju	0:0
09.03.19	Gwangju - Chungnam Asan	4:0

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