Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)


	Gwangju		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4	Watch
	1.81	3.65	3.9
	1.75	3.65	4.1
	1.78	3.76	4.56
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.71	3.76	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.17)	3.61 ↑ (3)	4.17 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
52.5%

Draw
25.5%

Gyeongnam
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gwangju's performance.

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gyeongnam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gwangju that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Gwangju - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: Gwangju will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Gwangju is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for K League 1

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2.

Gwangju in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gyeongnam is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gwangju is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gwangju to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
02.10.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
26.09.22	Gwangju - Ansan Greeners	3:0 ✺
14.09.22	Anyang - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Gwangju - Gimpo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
02.10.22	Gyeongnam - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
21.09.22	Seoul E-Land - Gyeongnam	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
13.09.22	Gyeongnam - Gimpo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
26.06.22	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	1:4
22.05.22	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	2:2
03.04.22	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	1:2
06.12.14	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	1:1
03.12.14	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	3:1
South Korean K-League 1
26.08.12	Gyeongnam - Gwangju	2:1
14.06.12	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	N/A

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