Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Churriana de la Vega		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.25
	2.21	2.91	3.43
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.14	2.97	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.24)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Churriana de la Vega
41.6%

Draw
31.2%

Mancha Real
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

32.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Churriana de la Vega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Mancha Real have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Churriana de la Vega than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Churriana de la Vega - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

Churriana de la Vega is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mancha Real has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Churriana de la Vega may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mancha Real has had a series of home games.

Churriana de la Vega will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Churriana de la Vega	5	2	0	3	9:9	0	6
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Churriana de la Vega CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Churriana de la Vega	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Motril - Churriana de la Vega	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Churriana de la Vega - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Churriana de la Vega	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Churriana de la Vega - Torre Del Mar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTL
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
15.02.26	Mancha Real - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mancha Real - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	El Palo - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mancha Real - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mancha Real - Alhaurino	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTL

Churriana de la Vega - Mancha Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide