Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Torreperogil

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.35	6.3
	1.52	3.44	6.49
	1.54	3.47	6.67
	1.53	3.3	6
	1.5	3.44	6.92
	1.55	3.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)	3.39 ↑ (3.02)	6.45 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
59.2%

Draw
26.8%

Torreperogil
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

29.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

29%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mancha Real's performance.

Torreperogil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mancha Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Mancha Real - Torreperogil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Mancha Real has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Torreperogil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mancha Real is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.02.26	Mancha Real - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	El Palo - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mancha Real - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mancha Real - Alhaurino	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLL
- CD Torreperogil
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.02.26	Churriana de la Vega - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Motril - Torreperogil	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	El Palo - Torreperogil	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Torreperogil - Torre Del Mar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.10.25	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:1
01.05.25	Mancha Real - Torreperogil	1:0
14.12.24	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	0:0
30.03.24	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:0
12.11.23	Mancha Real - Torreperogil	0:1

Mancha Real - Torreperogil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide