Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cienciano		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	9	Watch
	1.36	4.55	8.4	Watch
	1.35	4.9	8.49
	1.31	5.29	9.12	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.37	4.55	8.1	Watch
	1.32	5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)	8.66 ↑ (6.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
69.4%

Draw
19.9%

Alianza Atlético
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.5%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cienciano - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 26. Aguilar R. 3. Becerra K. 13. Nunez C. 16. Martinich M. 29. Robles A. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 88. Barreto G. 11. Bandiera N. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. (C)	95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 24. Gordillo A. 10. Diaz G. 16. Fernandez S. (C) 20. Perez J. 7. Coronel F. 9. Robaldo V. 17. Penilla C.
Substitutes
8. Aguirre G. 4. Amondarain M. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M.	22. del Castillo J. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 6. Lujan J. 15. Lupu H. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.	Urciuoli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Barreto G. (A),
22', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽, Coronel F. (A),
33', Coronel F. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Martinich M. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
65', Perez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
70', Aguilar R. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
70', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
70', Hohberg A. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
82', Cavero S. 🟨,
83', Penilla C. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
83', Robaldo V. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 4.

Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cienciano is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone) Souza Espana C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:17. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 2.8:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
13.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cienciano - Juan Pablo II College	6:1 ✺
31.01.26	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cienciano - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Cienciano - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTW
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
14.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
25.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1
22.06.25	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	3:2
23.10.24	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	3:0
13.05.24	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1
06.08.23	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	2:1
10.05.23	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	5:2
28.08.22	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0

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