Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cienciano		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.52	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.51	4.05	5.89
	1.54	4.06	5.97	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.53	4.39	6.18	Watch
	1.52	4.25	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.31 ↑ (4)	6.36 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cienciano
63.6%

Draw
21.7%

Cajamarca
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

21.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cienciano - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Cajamarca (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Barrios I. (G) 70. Valoyes J. 4. Amondarain M. 27. Ortiz J. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 7. Estrada J. 25. Gentile G. 10. Cueva C. 9. Romagnoli J. 30. Da Silva B.	21. Campos D. (G) 5. Aguirre J. 6. Lujan J. 3. Rugel L. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 14. Alvarez L. 28. De la Cruz L. 13. Oncoy F. 8. Mejia C. 10. Ramirez E. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
20. Benites Vargas L. E. 23. Cana D. (G) 6. Galeano L. 3. Gomez A. 8. Gonzalez A. 16. Ibanez P. 22. Neira C. 17. Noronha O. 55. Ramua A.	22. Balanta G. 17. Garro L. 30. Infante M. 24. Romero F. 1. Sanchez F. (G) 20. Vasquez A. 9. Verdun J. 16. Villamarin R.
Coaches
Desio C.	Bossi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Cueva C. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
16', 3 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Romagnoli J. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
45+1', 5 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', De la Cruz L. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
46', Da Silva B. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
46', Ortiz J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
52', Aguirre J. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
58', 6 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽, Neira C. (A),
59', Romero F. 🟨,
61', Oncoy F. 🟨,
63', Gentile G. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
69', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
77', Cueva C. ↓, Galeano L. ↑,
79', Ramirez E. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.

Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cajamarca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cienciano is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cienciano: Garces C. (Injury) Gomez A. (Muscle Injury) Ortiz D. (Face Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Cienciano - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
10.05.25	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Cienciano - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.25	Alianza Lima - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TWLWW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.25	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	6:0 ✺
20.04.25	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.24	Cajamarca - Cienciano	1:2
06.04.24	Cienciano - Cajamarca	1:1
08.07.23	Cienciano - Cajamarca	2:2
04.02.23	Cajamarca - Cienciano	Cajamarca awarded
07.10.22	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:1
21.05.22	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:2
21.09.21	Cienciano - Cajamarca	2:2

Upcoming Matches