The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 76.5%
Draw 15.1%
Cajamarca 8.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
73.4%
16.8%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Cienciano - Cajamarca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 7. Souza Espana C. 17. Sandoval R. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
1. Campos A. (G) 17. Garro L. (C) 3. Ganoza M. 2. Duarte B. 6. Cavagna F. 15. Cantt J. 16. Figuera A. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 22. Cabello C. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
88. Arce L. 11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 21. Bettocchi R. (G) 13. Caro D. 8. Dioses D. 18. Galvez S. 7. Nunez J.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
Molins C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sandoval R. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
46', Nunez C. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
57', Martinich M. 🟨,
61', Garces C. 🟨,
61', Figuera A. 🟨,
65', Molins C. 🟨,
69', Cantt J. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
69', Barreto G. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
70', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
75', de Jesus M. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
78', Figuera A. 🟨,
81', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
81', Garces C. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
87', Munoz A. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
88', Cavagna F. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 18th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
Cienciano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cajamarca has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cajamarca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cienciano enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Cajamarca: Paredes G.
(Red Card).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:24 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cienciano against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.2 per game).