Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	FBC Melgar		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.75
	1.67	3.87	4.8
	1.66	3.99	4.75	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.74	5	Watch
	1.69	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.76 ↑ (3.72)	4.84 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
56%

Draw
24.7%

Cienciano
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

FBC Melgar - Cienciano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FBC Melgar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 5. Deneumostier A. 90. Jesus Alcantar 45. Zegarra M. 7. Bordacahar C. 66. Orzan H. 24. Tandazo W. 22. Erustes P. 9. Cuesta B. 11. Vidales J.	1. Falcon G. (G) 26. Aguilar R. 3. Becerra K. 13. Nunez C. 7. Souza Espana C. 29. Robles A. 88. Barreto G. 27. Yovera A. 19. Succar M. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
27. Cabanillas N. 12. Caceda C. (G) 17. De Santis J. 18. Figueroa N. 14. Gamero Y. 8. Guzman L. 36. Nunez P. 6. Salas J. 40. Yabiku R.	8. Aguirre G. 4. Amondarain M. 11. Bandiera N. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R.
Coaches
Reynoso J.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. ⚽, Lazo M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Bordacahar C. 🟨,
63', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
64', Lazo M. 🟨,
65', Yovera A. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
78', Succar M. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
78', Barreto G. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
79', Tandazo W. 🟨,
82', Erustes P. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
82', Cuesta B. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
87', Vidales J. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
88', Tandazo W. ↓, Gamero Y. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, De Santis J. ⚽, Zegarra M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.

In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 2:0.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Club Friendly
25.01.26	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.10.25	Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
14.10.25	FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLW
- Cienciano
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cienciano - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Cienciano - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Sporting Cristal - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cienciano - Juan Pablo II College	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.10.25	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0
10.05.25	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:2
25.08.24	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	3:1
30.03.24	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0
09.09.23	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	0:1
14.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	1:0
17.09.22	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	2:2

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