Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Ciudad de Murcia		Cieza

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.85	2.05
	3.64	2.82	2.1
	3.72	2.9	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.98)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Murcia
24.7%

Draw
31.6%

Cieza
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

30.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

30.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cieza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Ciudad de Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Cieza is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ciudad de Cieza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ciudad de Cieza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.01.24	El Palmar - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Montecasillas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño	0:3 ✺
07.01.24	Racing Murcia - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Minera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLTL
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.01.24	Cieza - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Cieza - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Lorca Deportiva - Cieza	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Cieza - UCAM Murcia B	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Algar - Cieza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.09.23	Cieza - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1
02.04.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Cieza	0:0
04.12.22	Cieza - Ciudad de Murcia	2:1

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