Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	3.62	3.35	1.92
	3.64	3.48	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.45	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
25.7%

Draw
26.9%

Alacranes de Durango
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.9%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 3.

Cimarrones de Sonora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alacranes de Durango is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alacranes de Durango could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	La Piedad - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Colima	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leones Negros 2 - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Cimarrones de Sonora - Los Cabos United	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
20.03.26	Alacranes de Durango - Ensenada	6:0 ✺
15.03.26	Zapotlanejo - Alacranes de Durango	0:3 ✺
06.03.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Colima - Alacranes de Durango	1:4 ✺
16.02.26	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.11.25	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1
07.03.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
25.10.24	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 penalties
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:4
21.09.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alacranes de Durango	5:0

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