Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Héroe de Nacozari (Hermosillo)


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Irapuato

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.86	3.2	3.7
	1.87	3.37	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.45	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)	3.31 ↑ (3.28)	3.87 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
49%

Draw
27.5%

Irapuato
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Irapuato will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cimarrones de Sonora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Irapuato (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Talavera J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Santana C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 and 2).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently, Cimarrones de Sonora had a set of home games.

Cimarrones de Sonora will have a poor advantage in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams, Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Racing de Veracruz	5:1 ✺
19.04.25	Racing de Veracruz - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mexicali	4:0 ✺
28.03.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	3:0 ✺
21.03.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
26.04.25	Irapuato - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alacranes de Durango - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Irapuato	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Irapuato - Deportiva Venados	3:1 ✺
24.03.25	Irapuato - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.12.24	Irapuato - Cimarrones de Sonora	3:0
11.12.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Irapuato	1:0

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