Match Info

Date: 3 March 2022, Thursday


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.4
	2	3.15	3.3
	2.01	2.95	3.7
	2.12	3.02	3.84
	2.05	2.75	3.9
	2.07	3.13	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.94)	2.99 ↓ (3.16)	3.62 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
44.3%

Draw
30.5%

Jaiba Brava
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cimarrones de Sonora - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 4.

Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tampico Madero is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tampico Madero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cimarrones de Sonora will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.02.22	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
16.02.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros UdeG	2:3 ✺
02.02.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Dorados	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLWW
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.02.22	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:1 ✺
15.02.22	Venados - Jaiba Brava	2:1 ✺
10.02.22	Atlante - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Jaiba Brava - Cancún	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.09.21	Jaiba Brava - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2
24.03.21	Jaiba Brava - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1
07.10.20	Cimarrones de Sonora - Jaiba Brava	3:1
24.01.20	Jaiba Brava - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2
25.08.19	Cimarrones de Sonora - Jaiba Brava	0:1
17.02.19	Jaiba Brava - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:0
31.08.18	Cimarrones de Sonora - Jaiba Brava	2:1

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