The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Correcaminos UAT 42.1%
Draw 28.7%
Cimarrones de Sonora 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
26.9%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT's form might have worsened.
Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correcaminos UAT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
44.4%
0%
Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Correcaminos will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Correcaminos: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Torres Chavez V. G. 17. Tede F. 21. Gonzalez R. 15. Salazar A. 7. Hernandez E. 10. Sanchez Lopez J. A. 13. Moreno G. (C) 12. Espinosa Y. 11. Amador D. 9. Moragrega V.
30. Espinoza G. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 5. Reyna M. 24. Rodriguez J. 16. Lopez D. 14. Monarrez F. 6. Arellano A. 7. Peralta J. 10. Tejeda D. 172. Orrantia E.
Substitutes
5. Diaz J. 104. Estopier J. 168. Gamez J. 98. Lopez M. 84. Martinez J. (G) 29. Medellin S. 2. Pineda I. 31. Salas F. 19. Trevino S. 94. Zapata M.
8. Acuna F. 26. Aguirre C. 11. Jimenez D. 9. Lopez J. 146. Meza F. 111. Molina P. 137. Montero Ramos E. I. 86. Silva O. 134. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Gutierrez R.
Hernandez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Monreal E. 🟨,
19', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
27', Reyna M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Monarrez F. ⚽,
45+2', Moragrega V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manriquez S. ↓, Jimenez D. ↑,
54', Tede F. ↓, Gamez J. ↑,
54', Espinosa Y. ↓, Salas F. ↑,
62', Hernandez E. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Jimenez D. ⚽,
75', Lopez D. ↓, Meza F. ↑,
76', Rodriguez J. ↓, Aguirre C. ↑,
80', Meza F. 🟨,
83', Estopier J. 🟨,
83', Arellano A. 🟨,
85', Sanchez Lopez J. A. 🟨,
87', Sanchez Lopez J. A. ↓, Zapata M. ↑,
90+2', Tejeda D. ↓, Silva O. ↑,
90+2', Orrantia E. ↓, Montero Ramos E. I. ↑,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Play ~ In: ) and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 1.
Correcaminos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Correcaminos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Correcaminos will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Correcaminos won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.