Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 11

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Cimarrones de Sonora		La Piedad

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.92
	1.49	4.34	5.20	Watch
	1.42	4.25	6.18	Watch
	1.45	4.19	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.3 ↓ (4.37)	5.63 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
62.8%

Draw
21.1%

La Piedad
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

La Piedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Cimarrones de Sonora - La Piedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Cimarrones de Sonora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Piedad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cimarrones de Sonora is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Colima - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Los Cabos United - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tigres de Álica	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW
- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	La Piedad - Ensenada	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Zapotlanejo - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Tuzos UAZ - La Piedad	3:4 ✺
27.09.25	Colima - La Piedad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL

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