Match Info
Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
La Piedad |
|
Alacranes de Durango |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.93 |
3.74 |
1.7 |
|
 |
3.95 |
3.69 |
1.80 |
 Watch |
 |
4.31 |
3.9 |
1.64 |
Watch |
 |
2.75 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(2.55) |
3.68 ↑
(3.35) |
1.81 ↓
(2.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Piedad
24.5% | Draw
24.9% | Alacranes de Durango
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Piedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Piedad's form might have worsened.Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Piedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.La Piedad - Alacranes de Durango Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 56', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 59', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 72', 0 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).La Piedad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alacranes de Durango's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Alacranes de Durango could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Piedad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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