Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Héroe de Nacozari (Hermosillo)


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.55	3.85	4.65
				Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.57	3.7	5.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	5.1 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
58.5%

Draw
23.8%

Pioneros de Cancún
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

28.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones de Sonora's performance.

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Cimarrones de Sonora - Pioneros de Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Navarro B. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Payares J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.12.24	Pioneros de Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
25.11.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Aguacateros de Peribán	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.12.24	Pioneros de Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Pioneros de Cancún - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Zacatepec Siglo - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Pioneros de Cancún - Canamy	4:3 penalties ✺
09.11.24	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Pioneros de Cancún	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.12.24	Pioneros de Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0

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