Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.25
	2.55	3.55	2.36
	2.56	3.85	2.29
	2.59	3.8	2.28	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.38
	2.59	3.4	2.33	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.07)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	2.32 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
35.6%

Draw
25.3%

Cimarrones de Sonora
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aguacateros CDU Uruapan's form might have worsened.

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cimarrones de Sonora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.11.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Irapuato	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Colima - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Canamy	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	La Piedad - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWWWW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.11.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:3 ✺
01.11.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mexicali	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Alacranes de Durango - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:3 penalties ✺
19.10.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros 2	1:0 ✺
11.10.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Cimarrones de Sonora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide