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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 2 37.3%
Draw 24.2%
Philadelphia Union II 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
26.3%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
25.1%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati 2's performance.
Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+3%)
Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Mrozek F. (G) 43. Holmes C. 50. Samson F. 88. Chirila A. 55. Lajhar A. 41. Mosquera D. 57. Orejarena L. 82. Sphire C. 14. Fletcher K. 51. Niang C. 19. Chirila S. (C)
30. Holbrook P. (C) 41. De Paula M. 66. Sundstrom F. 46. Moore K. 68. Griffin J. 38. Sequera G. 93. Diop A. 36. Benitez O. 49. Ferreira W. 45. Reed T. 51. Jakupovic M.
Substitutes
30. Chavez A. 45. Gray N. 48. Lachekar S. 44. Marioni G. 54. Mize J. 95. Paz D. (G) 52. Ramos Y. 42. Vazquez M.
52. Gallego S. 59. Gladstone T. 70. Lorent C. (G) 53. Mendoza I. 55. Olivas S. 90. Pratt O. 54. Ruf J. 40. Uzcategui R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Reed T. ⚽,
37', Orejarena L. 🟨,
41', Holmes C. 🟨,
44', Sequera G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', Diop A. 🟨,
61', Diop A. ↓, Mendoza I. ↑,
62', Ferreira W. ↓, Gladstone T. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Fletcher K. ⚽, Chirila S. (A),
69', Mosquera D. ↓, Gray N. ↑,
69', Niang C. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Reed T. ⚽,
78', Sequera G. ↓, Ruf J. ↑,
78', Moore K. ↓, Pratt O. ↑,
79', Orejarena L. ↓, Ramos Y. ↑,
79', Fletcher K. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
82', Lajhar A. ↓, Lachekar S. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Ruf J. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 0.
Recent form of Cincinnati 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cincinnati 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cincinnati 2 has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
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Mrozek F. (G) 
Holmes C. 
Samson F. 
Lajhar A. 
Mosquera D. 
Niang C. 
Chirila S. (C) 
Sequera G. 
Lachekar S. 
Vazquez M. 
Olivas S. 
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