Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 16

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Cittadella		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	2.88	2.48
	2.97	2.84	2.71
	2.81	3.23	2.43	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.6
	2.78	2.78	2.54	Watch
	3	2.75	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
31.9%

Draw
32.2%

Brescia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

33%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Cittadella - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cittadella (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Zanellati A. (G) 2. Salvi A. 55. Redolfi A. 44. Gatti R. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 10. Casolari F. 8. Amatucci F. 14. Crialese C. 91. Falcinelli D. 99. Castelli D.	66. Gori S. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 5. Pasini N. 28. Silvestri L. 11. Cisco A. 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 18. De Maria V. 97. Cazzadori D. 7. Di Molfetta D.
Substitutes
90. Bunino C. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 25. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 30. De Zen R. 9. Diaw D. 17. Gaddini M. 40. Gobbato M. 18. Pavan N. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 15. Verna L.	82. Armati L. 24. Boci B. 22. Damioli M. (G) 21. Fogliata R. 1. Liverani L. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 45. Valente M. 77. Vesentini F. 9. Vido L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Gatti R. 🟨,
35', Silvestri L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gatti R. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
56', Casolari F. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
67', Pasini N. 🟨,
71', De Maria V. ↓, Boci B. ↑,
71', Cazzadori D. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
76', Falcinelli D. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
77', Vita A. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
79', Sorensen F. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Rabbi S. ⚽,
82', Sorensen F. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
83', Mercati A. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
88', Castelli D. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
89', Silvestri L. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Vido L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Cittadella has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Brescia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cittadella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brescia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cittadella - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Inter U23 - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Union Brescia
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Sambenedettese - Brescia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.25	Brescia - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ospitaletto - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Brescia - Alcione	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Triestina - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLW

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