Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Lecco		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.65	2.4
	3.02	3.03	2.40	Watch
	2.56	2.81	2.73	Watch
	2.62	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.02)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
34.8%

Draw
29.5%

Cittadella
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

31.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Lecco - Cittadella Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 18. Tanco G. J. 41. Romani L. 45. Rizzo M. 5. Zanellato N. 21. Metlika A. 80. Kritta M. 26. Frigerio M. R. 11. Galeandro A. 25. Sipos L.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 2. Salvi A. (C) 55. Redolfi A. 25. Cecchetto A. 30. De Zen R. 15. Verna L. 8. Amatucci F. 14. Crialese C. 99. Castelli D. 91. Falcinelli D. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 4. Marrone L. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 17. Pellegrino G. 8. Voltan D.	90. Bunino C. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 10. Casolari F. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 6. Djibril A. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 18. Pavan N. 28. Rizza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', De Zen R. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
60', Rabbi S. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
60', De Zen R. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
64', Zanellato N. 🟨,
69', Galeandro A. ↓, Alaoui A. ↑,
69', Rizzo M. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
80', Cecchetto A. ↓, Gatti R. ↑,
80', Falcinelli D. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Castelli D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Recent performances by Lecco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cittadella is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cittadella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Cittadella - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Lecco - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Renate - Lecco	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cittadella - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Inter U23 - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1

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