Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)


	Cittadella		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.4	4.35	Watch
	1.76	3.49	4.56
	1.75	3.39	4.53	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.76	3.55	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.99)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	4.41 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
52.4%

Draw
26.9%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cittadella's performance.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union ArzignanoChiampo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union ArzignanoChiampo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maniero L. (G) 40. Gobbato M. 18. Pavan N. 25. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. 5. Barberis A. 8. Amatucci F. 14. Crialese C. 21. Rabbi S. 99. Castelli D.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 26. Boccia S. 57. Milillo A. 33. Boffelli A. 13. Cariolato F. 15. Bianchi N. 17. Castegnaro L. 23. Bernardi E. 6. Lakti E. 9. Mattioli A. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
7. Anastasia E. 4. Angeli M. 90. Bunino C. 10. Casolari F. 9. Diaw D. 91. Falcinelli D. 32. Ghezzi A. 77. Ignatov E. 17. Perretta G. 55. Redolfi A. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 23. Saro G. (G) 36. Zilio A.	1. Bertini T. (G) 21. Cotoarba M. 8. Damiani M. 47. Jamali N. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 10. Minesso M. 16. Moretti M. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G. 5. Rossoni S. 25. Spaggiari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rabbi S. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Rabbi S. ⚽,
38', Bianchi N. 🟨,
40', Boccia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cariolato F. ↓, Rossoni S. ↑,
46', Bianchi N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Nanni N. ⚽,
55', Amatucci F. ↓, Perretta G. ↑,
73', Milillo A. 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Bernardi E. ⚽,
76', Castegnaro L. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
77', Barberis A. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
77', Gobbato M. ↓, Redolfi A. ↑,
89', Milillo A. ↓, Perini G. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

In recent matches, Cittadella has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Cittadella is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Cittadella - Giana Erminio	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Novara - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cittadella - Trento	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Brescia - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Vercelli	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pro Patria - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Inter U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Cittadella	1:0
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0

Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide