Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259, Sky Sport Calcio


	Triestina		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.15	3.3	1.82
	3.25	3.39	2.11	Watch
	4.34	3.18	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.05)	1.88 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
22.8%

Draw
27.9%

Brescia
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

30%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

28.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brescia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brescia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Triestina - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 6. Moretti A. 23. Silvestri T. 26. D'Amore F. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. 10. D'Urso C. 11. Gunduz T. 27. Faggioli A.	65. Gori S. (G) 28. Silvestri L. 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 11. Cisco A. 15. De Francesco A. 20. Zennaro M. 24. Boci B. 8. Balestrero D. 97. Cazzadori D. 37. Giani E.
Substitutes
19. Bagnoli E. 22. Borriello F. (G) 13. Kiyine S. 29. Kljajic N. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 4. Rodolfo Moises 2. Silvestro A. 16. Vicario J. 15. Voca I.	82. Armati L. 22. Damioli M. (G) 18. De Maria V. 21. Fogliata R. 74. Leporini L. 1. Liverani L. (G) 6. Mercati A. 45. Valente M. 77. Vesentini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Jonsson K. 🟨,
25', Giani E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Rizzo A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽,
64', D'Urso C. ↓, Kljajic N. ↑,
64', D'Amore F. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
73', De Francesco A. ↓, Mercati A. ↑,
74', Cisco A. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
74', Giani E. ↓, Valente M. ↑,
78', Faggioli A. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
80', Cazzadori D. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
83', Valente M. 🟨,
85', Anzolin M. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
85', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
85', Rizzo A. ↓, Armati L. ↑,
87', Balestrero D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In recent matches, Triestina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brescia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Triestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brescia is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Triestina	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Triestina - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Cittadella - Triestina	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Novara - Triestina	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTW
- Union Brescia
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Carpi - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Brescia - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Patria - Brescia	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Brescia - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT

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