Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Cittadella Vis Modena		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.93	3.19	2.28	Watch
	2.4	3.14	2.65
	2.49	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cittadella Vis Modena
35.8%

Draw
28.5%

Desenzano Calvina
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella Vis Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cittadella Vis Modena's performance.

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella Vis Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cittadella Vis Modena - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Cittadella Vis M have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Desenzano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Cittadella Vis Modena
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Crema	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Tropical Coriano - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Trevigliese	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Sesto - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Progresso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Sesto	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	5:1 ✺
12.10.25	Trevigliese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Upcoming Matches