Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Pro Sesto

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.27	3.55	Watch
	2.26	3.13	2.95
	1.95	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.35 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
44.4%

Draw
28.3%

Pro Sesto
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Desenzano Calvina - Pro Sesto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Montesano A. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Montesano A. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Gabbianelli G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Desenzano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pro Sesto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.10.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	5:1 ✺
12.10.25	Trevigliese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Desenzano Calvina - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Progresso - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.10.25	Pro Sesto - Rovato Vertovese	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Tropical Coriano - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Sesto - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Pro Sesto	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Pro Sesto - Crema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
27.10.24	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:1

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