Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Città di Brindisi		Avellino

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.7
	5	3.3	1.72
	4.68	3.59	1.73
	5.3	3.76	1.57
	5	3.25	1.65
	4.9	3.38	1.66
	4.6	3.3	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (3.9)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Brindisi
18.8%

Draw
26.8%

Avellino
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

28.2%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.4%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Città di Brindisi - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: Avellino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saio I. (G) 16. Valenti B. 21. Cappelletti D. 4. Gorzelewski F. 3. Monti N. 8. Cancelli C. 19. Malaccari N. 7. Albertini A. 23. De Angelis P. 24. Golfo F. 18. Moretti F.	22. Ghidotti S. (G) 2. Ricciardi M. 21. Armellino M. 13. Mule E. 4. Sannipoli D. 8. Lores I. 6. Palmiero L. 99. Casarini F. 11. Sgarbi L. 31. Marconi M. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 12. Auro C. (G) 15. Bellucci N. 13. Bizzotto N. 6. Ceesay W. R. 63. Costa R. 30. De Feo G. 17. Fall M. 91. Galano C. 99. Ganz S. 11. Lombardi L. 10. Petrucci D. 2. Vona A.	23. Dall'Oglio J. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 17. Maisto F. 58. Mundula C. 1. Pane P. (G) 9. Patierno C. 33. Pezzella S. 12. Pizzella A. (G) 59. Susko D. 55. Tozaj E.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Brindisi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brindisi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Avellino have a series of home games.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Brindisi
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Crotone - Città di Brindisi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
05.11.23	Giugliano - Città di Brindisi	3:0 ✺
01.11.23	Città di Brindisi - Catania	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Città di Brindisi - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
26.10.23	ACR Messina - Città di Brindisi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLW
- US Avellino
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Avellino - Foggia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
04.11.23	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Catania - Avellino	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Avellino - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW

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