Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+ app


	Avellino		Foggia

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.93	3.18	4.3
	1.89	3.25	4.38	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.84	3.22	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	4.11 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
48.7%

Draw
28.9%

Foggia
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

25.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foggia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Avellino - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 35. Gori G. 9. Patierno C.	1. Perina P. (G) 33. Carillo L. 32. Parodi G. 6. Camigliano A. 31. Salines E. 17. Tascone S. 5. Gargiulo M. 3. Felicioli G. 90. Emmausso M. 10. Millico V. 14. Murano J.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 50. De Michele P. 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 52. Solaro D. 91. Vano M.	77. Ascione S. 8. Danzi A. 22. De Lucia V. (G) 12. De Simone L. (G) 4. Mazzocco D. 11. Orlando F. 47. Pazienza O. 9. Santaniello E. 23. Sarr A. M. 2. Silvestro A. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Zunno M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
24', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,
30', Emmausso M. 🟨,
35', Tascone S. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Danzi A. 🟨,
58', Danzi A. 🟨,
60', Parodi G. ↓, Mazzocco D. ↑,
63', Patierno C. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
68', Iannarilli A. 🟨,
76', Sounas D. 🟨,
77', Felicioli G. 🟨,
83', Sounas D. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,
83', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
90', Rigione M. ↓, Benedetti S. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽,
90', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Redan D. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 3.

Recent matches Avellino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Foggia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foggia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Avellino won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Last Results with these Odds

Foggia - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.24	Turris - Avellino	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Avellino - Latina	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Cavese - Avellino	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Avellino - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTTT
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
25.09.24	Foggia - Giugliano	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Benevento - Foggia	4:0 ✺
16.09.24	Latina - Foggia	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Foggia - Monopoli	1:4 ✺
02.09.24	Altamura - Foggia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.01.24	Foggia - Avellino	1:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Avellino - Foggia	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.23	Avellino - Foggia	0:0
12.03.23	Avellino - Foggia	3:2
07.11.22	Foggia - Avellino	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
04.05.22	Avellino - Foggia	1:2
Italian Serie C Group C
24.04.22	Foggia - Avellino	2:0

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