Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 31

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Città di Castello		SanGiovanniValdarno

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Città di Castello
34.6%

Draw
30.4%

SanGiovanniValdarno
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Castello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

SanGiovanniValdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Castello than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).

Città di Castello has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SanGiovanniValdarno is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SanGiovanniValdarno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Group Città di Castello
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.04.23	Trestina - Città di Castello	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Città di Castello - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Pianese - Città di Castello	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Città di Castello - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Arezzo - Città di Castello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL
- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
06.04.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Terranuova Traiana	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Follonica Gavorrano - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTL

Città di Castello - SanGiovanniValdarno