Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	SanGiovanniValdarno		Terranuova Traiana

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	1.94	3.25	3.6
	1.92	3.21	3.64
	1.95	3.36	3.62	Watch
	1.94	3.24	3.63
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	3.6 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SanGiovanniValdarno
46.9%

Draw
27.9%

Terranuova Traiana
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SanGiovanniValdarno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SanGiovanniValdarno's performance.

Terranuova Traiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Terranuova Traiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SanGiovanniValdarno than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SanGiovanniValdarno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Terranuova Traiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SanGiovanniValdarno - Terranuova Traiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Zhupa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

SanGiovanniValdarno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Terranuova Traiana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SanGiovanniValdarno will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SanGiovanniValdarno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, SanGiovanniValdarno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD SanGiovanniValdarno
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Livorno	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Seravezza Pozzi - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	SanGiovanniValdarno - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ghiviborgo - SanGiovanniValdarno	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
27.04.25	Terranuova Traiana - Figline	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Terranuova Traiana	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Poggibonsi - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Terranuova Traiana - Livorno	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Orvietana - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
22.12.24	Terranuova Traiana - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:0
06.04.23	SanGiovanniValdarno - Terranuova Traiana	0:2
27.11.22	Terranuova Traiana - SanGiovanniValdarno	1:1

SanGiovanniValdarno - Terranuova Traiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide