Match Info

Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unico de San Nicolas (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.04	2.71	4.09
	1.83	3.13	4.91	Watch
	2	2.78	4.2
	1.92	3.1	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	4.27 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
47.2%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético de Rafaela
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.7%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Laborda G. (G) 9. Caraballo K. 11. Diaz A. 7. Duarte B. 10. Gonzalez A. 3. Lapetina L. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 5. Quintana B. 8. Yeri N.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 4. Martinez M. 11. Pastorelli A. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.
Substitutes
20. Abentin J. 12. Alvarez E. (G) 14. Cardozo E. 17. Diaz A. 13. Lucero I. 19. Maciel J. 15. Pereyra J. 16. Perez R. 18. Schonfeld G.	20. Alfano A. 12. Bergia M. (G) 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 17. Marchiori T. 18. Marquez E. 14. Morales L. 16. Ontivero L. 19. Protti I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Navarro E. 🟨,
20', Martinez E. 🟨,
20', Fernandez G. 🟨,
33', Capurro J. 🟨,
36', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Ponce F. 🟨,
49', 🟨,
51', Caraballo K. 🟨,
58', Leineker C. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
69', Pastorelli A. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
76', Diaz A. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
76', Caraballo K. ↓, Maciel J. ↑,
83', Quintana B. 🟨,
90', Duarte B. ↓, Schonfeld G. ↑,
90+3', Capurro J. ↓, Marquez E. ↑,
90+3', Martinez M. ↓, Fuyana J. ↑,
90+5', Laborda G. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
1, Fernandez G. (Pen),
2, Perez R. (Pen),
2, Marquez E. (Pen),
3, Yeri N. (Pen),
3, Ponce F. (Pen),
4, Quintana B. (Pen),
4, Fuyana J. (Pen),
5, Lapetina L. (Pen),
5, Ontivero L. (Pen),
6, Martinez E. (Pen),
6, Protti I. (Pen),
7, Schonfeld G. (Pen),
7, Albertengo L. (Pen),
8, Maciel J. (Pen),
8, Affranchino F. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Unico de San Nicolas.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ciudad de Bolívar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTL

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