Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.6	3.7	4.9
	1.54	3.68	5.42
	1.57	3.8	5.36	Watch
	1.51	3.74	5.91
	1.6	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	5.22 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
58%

Draw
24.5%

Caravaca
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+1%)

Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Galiano H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Resta F. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Vazquez A. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lorca Deportiva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.4:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.12.24	Minerva - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lorca Deportiva - Plus Ultra	5:2 ✺
26.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLWTL
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.12.24	Caravaca - Santomera	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Cartagena B - Caravaca	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Cieza - Caravaca	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.03.24	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	3:0
12.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:0
26.03.23	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	2:1
27.11.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:2
27.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:4

Upcoming Matches