Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Cleethorpes Town		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.05	5.5
	1.48	4.4	5.53
	1.48	4.57	5.65	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.44	4.15	6.02
	1.76	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.87)	4.11 ↑ (3.52)	5.37 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleethorpes Town
60.6%

Draw
22.3%

Morpeth Town
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

22.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleethorpes Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleethorpes Town's performance.

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morpeth Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleethorpes Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cleethorpes Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Walker J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, King J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, Hughes L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Morpeth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cleethorpes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cleethorpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cleethorpes	12	8	3	1	27:7	20	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Warrington Rylands - Cleethorpes Town	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Cleethorpes Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Stockton Town - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTWL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Workington - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Morpeth Town - Warrington Rylands	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Morpeth Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.10.25	Morpeth Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:2

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